Friday, December 10, 2010

HanXiuYun senior researcher of sina finance and economics says

Foreign investment in research institute President TanYaLing argues that, combining the current credit analyses huge, inflation expectations strong background consideration, 18.5% deposit reserve rate don't calculate gao, although the data with normal period is not comparable.
Tomorrow announced CPI data inflation tolerance into doubt
Interest rate hikes like hanging in head makelisi the sword, still not falling, and this also sparked analysts to morrow published CPI data of speculation.
"Yesterday market spread to raise deposit reserve rate 0.5 percentage points, while raising interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point today only adjust deposit accuracy ratio that inflationary pressures in the good aspects of transformation, better than expected." Haitong futures research institute GuoHongJun said. Watson said also think today, raise deposit reserve rate of inflation, explain inflation pressure still exists, but things are soaring prices dropped.
Although better view has been consensus, for the currency's tolerance experts opinion is still each are not identical. Tsinghua university of China center for economic research , adjust the deposit reserve rate role has appeared, if you can not control in future CPI 5% international abstain from line within, will not only raise deposit reserve rate will also raise rates.
GuoHongJun also expect tomorrow CPI data within the expected, i.e. 5%. And he thought within won't have raised action, because the central bank is unlikely to separate two to raise interest rates and raise deposit quasi gold rate action.
Lu commissar points out, CPI index if higher than 4.8 percent of words, years have continued to hike may, if the CPI only 4.5%, might not be added. But he stressed that no matter how CPI data, in order to shorten the policy implementation, shows that the central bank firmly against inflation determination speaking, should keep raising interest rates.

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